Economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic in New Zealand

Two cruise ships—Celebrity Solstice and Azamara Journey—in Port Chalmers on 15 March

The global COVID-19 pandemic had a significant impact on the New Zealand economy. New Zealand has a mixed economy – a free market with some state ownership and control.[1] In mid-March 2020, the New Zealand Government imposed a four-tier alert level system, which placed much of the country's economy into lockdown with the exception of "essential services" such as supermarkets.[2][3] Due to the success of the Government's elimination strategy, lockdown restrictions on various economic activities were progressively lifted between April and June 2020.[4][5]

Although somewhat abruptly sidelined from their normal influence within the New Zealand economy, representatives of the business sector continued to feature in media reporting: lobbying against perceived discrepancies in various industries,[6] publicising habitual evaluations such as business-confidence indicators[7][8] and economic outlooks,[9] and itching for an early return to "business as usual".[10]

On 17 September 2020, New Zealand economy officially entered into a recession, with the country's gross domestic product contracting by 12.2% in the June quarter due to the COVID-19 pandemic. The retail, accommodation, hospitality, and transportation sectors were adversely affected by the international travel ban and a strict nationwide lockdown.[11][12][13]

After successfully containing the virus, the New Zealand economy had sharp growth in what is known as a V-shaped recovery and ended the year with an overall economic expansion of 0.4%, better than the predicted 1.7% contraction.[14] Unemployment also dropped to 4.9% in December 2020, down from a peak Covid effected rate of 5.3% in September.[15]

By mid–September 2021, the Restaurant Association's Chief executive Marisa Bidois estimated that about 1,000 hospitality businesses nationwide had been forced to close as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, leading to the loss of 13,000 jobs. This has led the Association to lobby the Government for continued wage subsidies and incentives to boost customer rates.[16] By mid–November 2021, the Bay of Plenty Times reported that 26,774 companies had been liquidated by August 2021.[17]

In early February 2022, the Organisation of Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) identified the country's border restrictions and declining house prices as the major risks to the New Zealand economy that year. While the OECD report credited New Zealand's elimination strategy, wage and socio-economic subsidies with helping the economy to bounce back to pre-pandemic levels, it also warned that excessive Government spending was causing the economy to overheat and raising debt levels. The OECD welcomed the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's decision to raise interest rates but also urged the Government to raise the superannuation age, ease building restrictions, and reduce government spending.[18]

In late October 2022, the New Zealand Government ended its COVID-19 "handouts" programme for businesses. Stuff reported a 48% increase in formal insolvency proceedings in the third quarter of 2022, taking the total of business insolvencies that year to 384. In addition, receivership rates increased by 243% to 24 while voluntary administrations rose by 60% to eight. The transport and delivery sectors reported a 229% increase insolvency proceedings due to a shortage of drivers. The building services and construction sectors reported 50 and 107 insolvencies respectively, citing the economic and labour challenges caused by the COVID-19 pandemic.[19]

  1. ^ Murray, Georgina (2006). "The New Zealand Interlocks of Power". Capitalist Networks and Social Power in Australia and New Zealand. Corporate social responsibility series. Aldershot, Hampshire: Ashgate Publishing, Ltd. p. 123. ISBN 9780754647089. Retrieved 17 April 2020. New Zealand has been described as a mixed economy [...] and it works from free market principles.
  2. ^ Cheng, Derek (20 March 2020). "Coronavirus: PM Jacinda Ardern outlines NZ's new alert system, over-70s should stay at home". The New Zealand Herald. ISSN 1170-0777. Archived from the original on 21 March 2020. Retrieved 21 March 2020.
  3. ^ Roy, Eleanor (23 March 2020). "'Kiwis – go home': New Zealand to go into month-long lockdown to fight coronavirus". The Guardian. Archived from the original on 23 March 2020. Retrieved 23 March 2020.
  4. ^ Sachdeva, Sam (20 April 2020). "Ardern: NZ to leave lockdown in a week". Newsroom. Archived from the original on 20 April 2020. Retrieved 20 April 2020.
  5. ^ "Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern reveals move to level 1 from midnight". Radio New Zealand. 8 June 2020. Archived from the original on 8 June 2020. Retrieved 8 June 2020.
  6. ^ For example: Nichols, Lane (24 March 2020). "Covid-19 coronavirus: Liquor stores record 1800% spike in business ahead of alert level 4 lockdown". The New Zealand Herald. Archived from the original on 12 April 2020. Retrieved 12 April 2020. The New Zealand Alcohol Beverages Council (NZABC) [...] was now in talks with the Government about whether bottle stores could stay open during the enforced self-isolation period and over the status of online sales and home delivery.
    'Government is aware that spirits and spirit-based beverages are not available in supermarkets, so we are hopeful that we will have a viable way of selling these products in lockdown. Our preference of course is for bottle stores to remain open,' [NZABC executive director Bridget MacDonald] said.
  7. ^ For example: "Central NZ Business Confidence Plummets Amid COVID-19 Shutdown" (Press release). Business Central. Scoop Independent News. 3 April 2020. Archived from the original on 12 April 2020. Retrieved 12 April 2020. Business confidence has plummeted to record lows, according to a survey by the Wellington Regional Chambers of Commerce and Business Central.
  8. ^ "BNZ Markets Outlook" (PDF). bnz.co.nz/research. Bank of New Zealand. 6 April 2020. p. 2. Archived (PDF) from the original on 27 April 2020. Retrieved 12 April 2020. On Tuesday, we get NZIER's Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion. NZIER tells us that the responses were complete by March 20. So, there will be the first signs of concern in the data but it will predate the big hit the economy has since suffered. We expect a drop in confidence but recognize that it will be just a step along the way to a much bigger fall.
  9. ^ For example: "Business Implications of COVID-19 (Coronavirus)". Insights. KPMG. 9 April 2020. Archived from the original on 13 May 2020. Retrieved 12 April 2020. Webinar: Business implications of COVID-19, 6 April 2020.
    A group of our Partners and Directors share their views and insights on what New Zealand businesses need to be considering during these unprecedented times, discussing the following themes: cashflow and liquidity, funding and capital, preparing for transition and characteristics of a post-crisis business.
  10. ^ For example: "Coronavirus: Racing industry gets massive win as New Zealanders prepare for lockdown". NZ Racing Desk. Stuff. Stuff Limited. 25 March 2020. Archived from the original on 25 March 2020. Retrieved 17 April 2020. 'As soon as we are able to we will be back to business as usual and if done right we will not have to endure the stand down for long,' O'Sullivan and Scott said in a statement on social media.
  11. ^ "Covid-19: GDP results show NZ officially in first recession in a decade". Radio New Zealand. 17 September 2020. Archived from the original on 17 September 2020. Retrieved 17 September 2020.
  12. ^ Pullar-Strecker, Tom (17 September 2020). "NZ in recession as Covid shrinks GDP by 12.2%". Stuff. Archived from the original on 17 September 2020. Retrieved 17 September 2020.
  13. ^ Roy, Eleanor (16 September 2020). "New Zealand in Covid recession after worst quarterly GDP fall on record". The Guardian. Archived from the original on 17 September 2020. Retrieved 17 September 2020.
  14. ^ "A country with one of the strictest COVID lockdowns is seeing a V-shaped recovery". Fortune. Retrieved 27 January 2021.
  15. ^ "Shock fall in unemployment to 4.9%". Stuff. 2 February 2021. Retrieved 2 February 2021.
  16. ^ Cite error: The named reference NZH Restaurant Association was invoked but never defined (see the help page).
  17. ^ Hall, Carmen (13 November 2021). "Gone: 26,774 businesses wiped off NZ Companies Office Register in eight months". Bay of Plenty Times. NZME. Archived from the original on 13 November 2021. Retrieved 14 November 2021.
  18. ^ "Border delays and a crash in house prices are the main risks facing the NZ economy - OECD report". Radio New Zealand. 1 February 2022. Archived from the original on 1 February 2022. Retrieved 1 February 2022.
  19. ^ Morrison, Tina (28 October 2022). "Covid handouts end: 384 business failures in three months". Stuff. Archived from the original on 30 October 2022. Retrieved 31 October 2022.

© MMXXIII Rich X Search. We shall prevail. All rights reserved. Rich X Search